Human judgement, paired with machines.
Neither a person nor a model is the best trader. The best trader is the two of them working together.
A human brain paired with AI produces more output, and better output, than either one alone. The machine scans, prices and executes at a speed no person can match. The human decides where to point it, when something smells wrong, and when to walk away. We build our whole firm around that pairing.
A proven record: over 3,000x on our initial deposit since 2017.
If it has an edge, we'll find it. When the edge runs out, we're gone.
| Market | Focus |
|---|---|
| Perpetuals | Crypto, equities, commodities |
| Prediction markets | Anything with a binary outcome |
| Exotic markets | New, untested markets where large funds are afraid to go. That's where you'll find us. |
We trade only our own capital and don't manage money for anyone else.
We do back founders. If you're building something early, we write seed cheques. Send us what you're working on.
We're hiring exceptionally talented people. We don't have job titles or job descriptions, just hard problems and a small team.
To apply, work through the problem below. We care about how you get to an answer, not the answer itself. A clear line of thinking that ends in the wrong place beats a right answer with no working.
A private company is for sale. Its true value is equally likely to be anything from $0 to $100. The owner knows the exact value. You don't.
Once you own it, you can make it worth 1.8 times its true value. A company truly worth $50 would be worth $90 to you.
You get to make one offer. If your offer is at least the true value, the owner sells. If it's lower, the owner says no.
What should you offer?
Email us your answer and your working. Show every step of how you got there. That's the part we read.